Rabin (2002) on Psychology and Economics
Matthew
Rabin, “A Perspective on Psychology and Economics.” European Economic Review 46: 657 – 685, 2002.
- “Ceteris
paribus, the more realistic our assumptions about economic actors, the better
our economics [page 658].” Rabin is implicitly taking on Milton Friedman’s
discussion in his 1953 essay “The Methodology of Positive Economics,” where
Friedman suggests that the realism of assumptions is not a test of the value of
a theory; rather, theories should be judged on their ability to predict the
data or explain the evidence.
- The
departures of behavior from traditional economics assumptions are both common
and systematic. We are not fully rational, fully self-controlled, or fully
self-interested.
- Three
important behavioral regularities are loss aversion, the endowment effect, and
an interest in behaving in a reciprocal fashion. Further, people seem to have
preferences not over final outcomes alone, but over changes from a reference point – standard economics assigns utility
only over final outcomes.
- The
standard economics assumption of exponential discounting of future costs and
benefits has never had any empirical justification. The “behavioral” assumption
of a present bias not only is more realistic, but it also explains common
behaviors such as undersaving and procrastination that are hard to square with
exponential discounting. Further, the standard approach to risk aversion is
like the standard approach to discounting, obviously wrong and incapable of
explaining common behavior.
- The
argument that markets would punish irrational behavior doesn’t mean we
shouldn’t study such behavior – rather the opposite, actually. The fact that
in some settings a bias dissipates is not to say that people do not have such a
bias or that it cannot have meaningful implications.
No comments:
Post a Comment